Eurabia

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Islam in Europe      <1% (Czech Republic, Estonia, Finland, Hungary, Iceland, Ireland, Latvia, Lithuania, Moldova, Poland, Portugal, Romania, Slovakia)      1%-2% (Belarus, Croatia, Italy, Monaco, Ukraine)      2%-4% (Andorra, Denmark, Luxembourg, Norway, Serbia, Slovenia, Spain)      4%-5% (Germany, Greece, Liechtenstein, Switzerland, United Kingdom)      5%-10% (Austria, Belgium, Netherlands, Sweden)      10%-20% (Bulgaria, Cyprus, France, Montenegro, Russia)      20%-30%      30%-50% (Bosnia and Herzegovina, Macedonia)      50%-60%      60%-70%      70%-90% (Albania)      90%-100% (Kosovo, Turkey)

Eurabia is a political neologism that refers to the premise that the Muslim population in Europe will become a majority within a few generations due to continued immigration and high birth rates.

The term was publicized by the writer Bat Ye'or, especially in her 2005 book Eurabia: The Euro-Arab Axis, referring to joint Euro-Arab foreign policies that she characterizes as anti-American and anti-Zionist.[1] The term is generally used in combination with "dhimmitude", another term introduced by Ye'or, denoting an attitude of concession, surrender and appeasement towards Islam.

Contents

Origin of the term

Eurabia was originally the title of a newsletter published by the Comité européen de coordination des associations d'amitié avec le monde Arabe.[2] According to Bat Ye'or, it was published collaboratively with France-Pays Arabes (journal of the Association de solidarité franco-arabe or ASFA), Middle East International (London), and the Groupe d'Etudes sur le Moyen-Orient (Geneva).[3] During the 1973 oil crisis, the European Economic Community (predecessor of the European Union), had entered into the Euro-Arab Dialogue (EAD) with the Arab League.[4] Bat Ye'or later used the journal title Eurabia to describe the associated political developments.

In her book, Bat Ye'or states that Eurabia is the result of the French-led European policy originally intended to increase European power against the United States by aligning its interests with those of the Arab countries, and regards it as a primary cause of European hostility to Israel. Her definition of the term is:

Eurabia is a geo-political reality envisaged in 1973 through a system of informal alliances between, on the one hand, the nine countries of the European Community (EC) which, enlarged, became the European Union (EU) in 1992 and on the other hand, the Mediterranean Arab countries. The alliances and agreements were elaborated at the top political level of each EC country with the representative of the European Commission, and their Arab homologues with the Arab League's delegate. This system was synchronised under the roof of an association called the Euro-Arab Dialogue (EAD) created in July 1974 in Paris. A working body composed of committees and always presided jointly by a European and an Arab delegate planned the agendas, and organized and monitored the application of the decisions.[citation needed]

Current usage

Current use of the term differs from than that of Bat Ye'or, with more attention focused on Muslim immigration and demographics, and the difficulties of assimilating Europe's Islamic populations. Niall Ferguson wrote in the New York Times that the idea of Eurabia has

...gained credibility since 9/11. The 3/11 bombings in Madrid confirm that terrorists sympathetic to Osama bin Laden continue to operate with comparative freedom in European cities. Some American commentators suspect Europeans of wanting to appease radical Islam. Others detect in sporadic manifestations of anti-Semitism a sinister conjunction of old fascism and new fundamentalism.[5]

The term has been popularized by writers such Oriana Fallaci,[6] Robert Spencer,[7] Daniel Pipes,[8] Ayaan Hirsi Ali,[9] Melanie Phillips,[10] Mark Steyn[11] (and several web sites[12]). Others, such as Bernard Lewis[13] and Bruce Bawer have presented comparable scenarios.

Waleed Aly, in an article published in The Age (Melbourne), responding to Raphael Israeli's call for controls limiting Muslim immigration to Australia (lest a "critical mass" develop) observed that Raphael Israeli's comments are a cause for concern "because they are not as marginal as they are mad." Aly continues that Israeli's latest book "is an unoriginal appropriation of the 'Eurabia' conspiracy thesis of Jewish writer Bat Ye'or: that Europe is evolving into a post-Judeo-Christian civilisation increasingly subjugated to the jihadi ideology of Muslim migrants" and that the theory has received "enthusiastic support" from intellectuals in Europe and activists in the USA.[14]

In 2009, a video connected to Eurabia was uploaded to YouTube, with the title "Muslim Demographics". The video reached 10 million views in just a bit over two months, notably leading to the investigation of the figures put forward in the seven-and-a-half minute video by a BBC News program. The program concluded; "So how reliable are the statistics in the Muslim Demographics video? The short answer is: not very. But the long answer is more interesting, because the video is mix of the right, the wrong and the unknowable."[15][16]

Implications and response

Libyan leader Muammar al-Gaddafi, in a speech that aired on Al-Jazeera TV on April 10, 2006, said:[17][18]

The 2005 summit of the Euro-Arab Euromediterranean Partnership, reached as two of its "four fundamental areas", the explicit agenda of "Education and Cultural Exchange" and "Justice, Security, Migration, and Social Integration (of Immigrants)."[19]

However, not all supporters of the theory see 'Eurabia' as inevitable.[20] Some advocate the prohibition of Islam[21] and some advocate a direct confrontation. In an article entitled Confrontation, Not Appeasement, Ayaan Hirsi Ali demands a confrontational policy at the European level to meet the threat of radical Islam, and compares policies of non-confrontation to Neville Chamberlain's appeasement of Hitler.[22] Specifically, she proposes: *careful monitoring of the demographic growth of the Muslim population in Europe;

During the conference "The collapse of Europe" at Pepperdine University, Ayaan Hirsi Ali asked for "reform, meaning, to reduce government, where government is unnecessary, and especially the welfare state."[23]

According to Johann Hari, "Steyn's wider response to Islamism is to make democratic societies more like the one the Islamists want to build."[24]

Criticism of the Eurabia theory

The Economist has described the concept of Eurabia as "scaremongering".[25]

Scholar Matt Carr wrote in the July 2006 issue of Race & Class that

What began as an outlandish conspiracy theory has become a dangerous Islamophobic fantasy that has moved ever closer towards mainstream respectability.[26]

Justin Vaisse, co-author of Integrating Islam Political and Religious Challenges in Contemporary France, says his book intends to debunk "four myths of the alarmist school." Using Muslims in France as an example, he writes:

According to David Aaronovitch:

[Eurabia] is a concept created by a writer called Bat Ye’or who, according to the publicity for her most recent book, "chronicles Arab determination to subdue Europe as a cultural appendage to the Muslim world — and Europe's willingness to be so subjugated". This, as students of conspiracy theories will recognise, is the addition of the Sad Dupes thesis to the Enemy Within idea.[30]

The "Eurabia" theory has been compared to historically antisemitic writing by British columnist Johann Hari. He calls the two "startlingly similar" and says that "there are intellectuals on the British right who are propagating a conspiracy theory about Muslims that teeters very close to being a 21st century Protocols of the Elders of Mecca."[31]

See also

Notes

  1. ^ 'Eurabia' Defined, Andrew G. Bostom, American Thinker, November 15, 2005
  2. ^ (French) Archive list Universités de Paris
  3. ^ Bat Ye'or, Le dialogue Euro-Arabe et la naissance d'Eurabia, Observatoire du Monde Juif, December 2002, English translation
  4. ^ MEDEA: Euro-Arab dialogue
  5. ^ Niall Ferguson, THE WAY WE LIVE NOW: 4-4-04; Eurabia?, New York Times, April 4, 2004 [1]
  6. ^ (Italian) "Sono quattr' anni che parlo di nazismo islamico, di guerra all' Occidente, di culto della morte, di suicidio dell' Europa. Un' Europa che non è più Europa ma Eurabia e che con la sua mollezza, la sua inerzia, la sua cecità, il suo asservimento al nemico si sta scavando la propria tomba." in Oriana Fallaci, Il nemico che trattiamo da amico, Corriere della Sera, 2006-09-15
  7. ^ Jihad Watch and Dhimmi Watch websites
  8. ^ Daniel Pipes's website
  9. ^ "The monopoly of force that is now exclusive to states will be challenged by armed subgroups. European societies will be divided along ethnic and religious lines. The education system will not succeed in grooming the youth to believe in a shared past, let alone a shared future. The European states will find themselves limiting civil liberties. Europeans will come to accept the de facto implementation of Sharia law in certain neighborhoods and even cities. The exploitation of the weak, women and children will be commonplace. Those who can afford to emigrate will do so. Instead of an ever-growing union in Europe, future generations may witness an ever-disintegrating one." in Ayaan Hirsi Ali, Europe's Immigration Quagmire, LA Times, 2006
  10. ^ Melanie Phillips, Londonistan: How Britain is creating a terror state within, Encounter, London, 2006
  11. ^ Mark Steyn, America Alone: The End of the World as We Know It, 2006 and 2008; It's the Demography, Stupid (2006-01-04); The future belongs to Islam (2006-10-20)
  12. ^ including Gates of Vienna, Paul Belien's Brussels Journal, Free Republic, Front Page Magazine, Richard Landes's Eurabia article, Fjordman's The Eurabia Code article and Defeating Eurabia compilation (this web page list several web resources)
  13. ^ ref: maybe [2], [3], [4], [5] [6]
  14. ^ Waleed Aly, "Hatred in a head count", The Age, 2007-02-19; see also Raphael Israeli's answer to Australian media coverage, 2007-02-22
  15. ^ "Welcome to Eurabia?". BBC News. 7 August 2009. http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/programmes/more_or_less/8189480.stm. 
  16. ^ Knight, Richard (7 August 2009). "Does 'Muslim Demographics' abuse numbers?". BBC (Radio 4 Blog). http://www.bbc.co.uk/blogs/radio4/2009/08/does_muslim_demographics_abuse_numbers.html. 
  17. ^ "Al-Qaddafi: Islam taking over Europe - Victory within a Few Decades" (html). Al-Jazeera TV. http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=i7ympF_grrA. Retrieved 2009-12-01. 
  18. ^ "Will Britain one day be Muslim?" (html). Daily Mail. http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-452815/Will-Britain-day-Muslim.html. Retrieved 2009-12-01. 
  19. ^ http://www.euromedbarcelona.org/EN/PtoEncuentro/ACptoEncuentro/index.html
  20. ^ for those who do, see especially "Eurabia represents a geo-political reality" and "Western Europe [...] future is Eurabia. Period.", Bat Ye'or quoted by Jamie Glazov, Eurabia, Front Page Magazine, 2004-09-21
  21. ^ (French) manifesto in Le devoir de précaution
  22. ^ (Dutch) Confrontatie, geen verzoening, de Volkskrant, 8 April 2006, copy here
  23. ^ 2007-06-19, quoted by bigpicweblog.com, conference The collapse of Europe at Pepperdine University with americanfreedomalliance.org; see also "[Mark Steyn] argues for dissolving Europe's welfare" in Johann Hari, 2'America Alone: The End of the World as We Know It' by Mark Steyn", New Statesman, 2007-03-12, Bruce Bawer claiming that european "big-government, welfare-state social democracy" is a "kind of fundamentalism" in "While Europe Slept interview with Bruce Bawer", Front Page magazine, 2006-05-23;
  24. ^ in "'America Alone: The End of the World as We Know It' by Mark Steyn"
  25. ^ "Tales from Eurabia". The Economist. June 22 2006. "Integration will be hard work for all concerned. But for the moment at least, the prospect of Eurabia looks like scaremongering." 
  26. ^ Matt Carr, You are now entering Eurabia[7]
  27. ^ See also Randy McDonald, France, its Muslims, and the Future, 2004-04-13, Doug Saunders, "The 'Eurabia' myth deserves a debunking", The Globe and Mail, 2008-09-20, Fewer differences between foreign born and Swedish born childbearing women, Statistics Sweden, 2008-11-03, Mary Mederios Kent, Do Muslims have more children than other women in western Europe?, Population Reference Bureau, prb.org, February 2008; for fertility of Muslims outside Europe, see the sentence "The dramatic decline in Iran's fertility provides a recent example of how strict Islamic practices can coexist with widespread use of family planning.", and (the articles) Farzaneh Roudi-Fahimi and Mary Mederios Kent, Fertility Declining in the Middle East and North Africa, prb.org, April 2008, especially the figure 2, Mohammad Jalal Abbasi-Shavazi, Recent changes and the future of fertility in Iran, especially the figure 1;
  28. ^ See also "Merely speaking of a 'Muslim community in France' can be misleading and inaccurate: like every immigrant population, Muslims in France exhibit strong cleavages based on the country of their origin, their social background, political orientation and ideology, and the branch or sect of Islam that they practice (when they do)." in Justin Vaisse, Unrest in France, November 2005, 2006-01-12
  29. ^ See also Justin Vaïsse, La France et les musulmans: une politique étrangère sous influence?, April 2007 (French)
  30. ^ David Aaronovitch (2005-11-15). "It's the latest disease: sensible people saying ridiculous things about Islam". The Times. http://www.timesonline.co.uk/tol/comment/columnists/david_aaronovitch/article590235.ece?print=yes. Retrieved 2008-03-08. 
  31. ^ Johann Hari, "Amid all this panic, we must remember one simple fact - Muslims are not all the same", The Independent, London, 2006-08-21; see also "It is not an exaggeration to see in these wild conspiracy theories a mutation of Europe’s old, toxic anti-Semitism. What are Fallaci and Ye’or offering but the Protocols of the Elders of Muhammad?" in Johann Hari, "Islam in the West", Dissent magazine, winter 2007;

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